Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.036547 0.039761 0.042993 0.046481 0.050133 0.053837 0.057872
2025-11-30 0.032138 0.036965 0.041973 0.047532 0.053509 0.059720 0.066641
2025-12-07 0.028519 0.034510 0.040899 0.048167 0.056156 0.064622 0.074225
2025-12-14 0.025310 0.032133 0.039602 0.048287 0.058018 0.068502 0.080571
2025-12-21 0.023329 0.030904 0.039382 0.049426 0.060858 0.073341 0.087879
2025-12-28 0.020544 0.028503 0.037628 0.048648 0.061394 0.075499 0.092112
2026-01-04 0.018705 0.027061 0.036847 0.048863 0.062954 0.078718 0.097461
2026-01-11 0.017357 0.026099 0.036536 0.049543 0.064977 0.082408 0.103297
2026-01-18 0.016138 0.025198 0.036221 0.050149 0.066858 0.085892 0.108865
2026-01-25 0.013965 0.022931 0.034107 0.048483 0.065969 0.086101 0.110612
2026-02-01 0.012542 0.021541 0.033003 0.047972 0.066390 0.087783 0.114014
2026-02-08 0.011383 0.020424 0.032179 0.047750 0.067112 0.089782 0.117755
2026-02-15 0.010923 0.020267 0.032606 0.049122 0.069818 0.094191 0.124402
2026-02-22 0.010381 0.019957 0.032809 0.050200 0.072164 0.098179 0.130573
2026-03-01 0.009722 0.019433 0.032698 0.050853 0.073971 0.101518 0.135981
2026-03-08 0.008928 0.018654 0.032199 0.050974 0.075094 0.104020 0.140388
2026-03-15 0.008557 0.018486 0.032520 0.052150 0.077530 0.108109 0.146690
2026-03-22 0.007574 0.017296 0.031369 0.051346 0.077436 0.109097 0.149264
2026-03-29 0.006988 0.016694 0.031011 0.051568 0.078625 0.111638 0.153693
2026-04-05 0.006588 0.016365 0.031023 0.052271 0.080416 0.114911 0.159003
2026-04-12 0.006195 0.016018 0.030988 0.052896 0.082098 0.118047 0.164147
2026-04-19 0.005217 0.014572 0.029277 0.051176 0.080703 0.117337 0.164592
2026-04-26 0.004622 0.013750 0.028454 0.050648 0.080834 0.118505 0.167310